Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000188 0.000208 0.000230 0.000255 0.000283 0.000313 0.000349
2025-09-21 0.000148 0.000176 0.000209 0.000251 0.000302 0.000363 0.000441
2025-09-28 0.000121 0.000152 0.000191 0.000242 0.000310 0.000396 0.000516
2025-10-05 0.000108 0.000142 0.000185 0.000247 0.000333 0.000448 0.000619
2025-10-12 0.000098 0.000133 0.000181 0.000251 0.000353 0.000499 0.000725
2025-10-19 0.000088 0.000123 0.000173 0.000250 0.000365 0.000536 0.000816
2025-10-26 0.000081 0.000117 0.000169 0.000252 0.000382 0.000583 0.000928
2025-11-02 0.000074 0.000109 0.000162 0.000249 0.000389 0.000615 0.001019
2025-11-09 0.000068 0.000103 0.000157 0.000248 0.000400 0.000653 0.001123
2025-11-16 0.000063 0.000097 0.000151 0.000243 0.000404 0.000680 0.001212
2025-11-23 0.000057 0.000091 0.000144 0.000237 0.000404 0.000699 0.001290
2025-11-30 0.000054 0.000088 0.000142 0.000240 0.000421 0.000751 0.001435
2025-12-07 0.000052 0.000085 0.000140 0.000243 0.000438 0.000808 0.001605
2025-12-14 0.000047 0.000079 0.000134 0.000238 0.000441 0.000836 0.001723
2025-12-21 0.000043 0.000074 0.000127 0.000230 0.000436 0.000850 0.001811
2025-12-28 0.000041 0.000072 0.000126 0.000234 0.000457 0.000920 0.002037
2026-01-04 0.000040 0.000070 0.000125 0.000238 0.000477 0.000990 0.002276
2026-01-11 0.000037 0.000067 0.000122 0.000237 0.000485 0.001035 0.002462
2026-01-18 0.000036 0.000065 0.000121 0.000239 0.000502 0.001102 0.002718
2026-01-25 0.000034 0.000062 0.000117 0.000236 0.000507 0.001141 0.002907
2026-02-01 0.000032 0.000060 0.000114 0.000235 0.000516 0.001192 0.003138
2026-02-08 0.000030 0.000057 0.000110 0.000231 0.000517 0.001223 0.003321
2026-02-15 0.000028 0.000054 0.000106 0.000225 0.000514 0.001243 0.003473